Chicago - IL vs Phoenix - AZ: 2026 Housing Comparison

What this means for buyers

Phoenix - AZ is roughly 24% more expensive than Chicago - IL in typical home value. Homes sit on market longer in Phoenix - AZ (38 days vs 14), suggesting more buyer leverage there. Phoenix - AZ sees more listings with price cuts (32.0% vs 27.5%), a sign of softening seller expectations.

Chicago vs Phoenix: what the numbers say

At today's 7.40% average 30-year rate with 20% down, the typical home would cost about $1,970 a month in principal and interest in Chicago and $2,443 in Phoenix, a gap of $473 a month.

Typical rent runs $2,163 in Chicago and $1,720 in Phoenix, so the mortgage payment alone is 0.9 times rent in Chicago and 1.4 times rent in Phoenix, before taxes and insurance.

Home prices are 13.7 years of rent in Chicago and 21.4 in Phoenix; the lower ratio in Chicago means buying there is cheaper relative to renting.

Over the last 23 months typical values moved +8.3% in Chicago and -4.5% in Phoenix; over just the last three months the change was +1.5% in Chicago and -0.4% in Phoenix.

Homes sell for 100.5% of list price in Chicago and 97.9% in Phoenix, after 14 and 38 days on the market, with price cuts on 28% and 32% of listings. All three signs point the same way: buyers have more room to negotiate in Phoenix.

The number of homes for sale is up 1% on a year ago in Chicago and up 2% on a year ago in Phoenix.

Payments assume a 30-year fixed loan at the Freddie Mac weekly average rate (2026-10-15), 20% down, principal and interest only. Home values, rents and market figures are Zillow Research metro data.